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Prayer => Opposable Thumbs?

The University of Oxford has apparently taken £2M toward answering “Why do we believe in God?” From the Times article:

They will not attempt to solve the question of whether God exists but they will examine evidence to try to prove whether belief in God conferred an evolutionary advantage to mankind. They will also consider the possibility that faith developed as a byproduct of other human characteristics, such as sociability.

I found this in a discussion about the study in the Galilean Library, which is a wonderful resource for thoughtful, and almost more importantly, civil discussion across the philosophical spectrum. I added a (typically long-winded) point of consideration, summarized by saying that, as much as “God” might just be a label for the collection of “all things we think we don’t know, or which are currently ineffable and beyond our scrutiny,” then any such study, however expensive, really aims to investigate just one in a class of cultural metaphors, models, for things we want to understand.

There are undoubtedly flaws in viewing all our cognitive endeavors as mere mapping sensation to lingual metaphors, as it is certain to be a crude approximation, if a valid approximation at all; but just as in the case of the infinite square well, first-order, crude models work well as insertion points to broader and/or deeper analysis. And lest it be thought that I’m of the same “science != religion” mindset I was just a few short years ago, here’s a hopefully fruitful excerpt.

Of course, science itself probably holds no special claim to some objectivity, some circumnavigation of our use of metaphors as models. Just because scientific models use polynomial notation, and are algebraically derivable, and embed quite a lot of effective structure in the mathematical language they inhabit, doesn’t mean they’re anything more than just intricate metaphors. Niels Bohr developed a pretty model for the atom, but this perfect picture has since been rebutted. It worked, though, and, in many contexts, is a fine picture of atomic structure. Physics students still make use of metaphors in university, e.g. the infinite square well. These are simplified pictures used to motivate a subtle concept, before their complexity is increased on the way to deeper understanding.

The specific question about whether belief in “God” conferred/confers an evolutionary benefit is interesting, and something I’ve pondered for a while. In general, it seems that people with some kind of workable model prosper to a greater degree than those who don’t, independent of the model’s approximation of “truth.” This is related, I think, to results of a study concluding that those able to deceive themselves tended to be happier than those who aren’t, given that (a) models are only ever approximate, and (b) the utility of a model is probably proportionate to how strongly we believe in it’s explanatory power.


4 Comments

The specific question about whether belief in “God” conferred/confers an evolutionary benefit is interesting, and something I’ve pondered for a while. In general, it seems that people with some kind of workable model prosper to a greater degree than those who don’t, independent of the model’s approximation of “truth.”

I think I personally agree, but where do we get this generalization from? It could easily be just an availability heuristic, and if not, it’s hard to tell which came first the chicken or the egg.

I’d like to hear more about your “availability heuristic”; I haven’t come across that term (I know what each word means, of course). As to the source of the generalization, it might be an intrinsic property of the cognitive structure we build from our sensory data. Of course, that kind of implies that the generalized behavior is generated from the process of such building, which would mean that there’s some kind of foundational dynamic endemic to patterns emerging from the combination of neuron paths into “ideas” (or whatever elemental cognitive patterns are called).

Or not. But if it does arise something like that, i.e. the greater utility of convincing belief over “truth” being an effect of the physical process of building cognitive models, we have a toehold into a study of the link between consciousness, systems of belief, and sensation. Hard to ethically research the connection, though.

It just means that the experiences that led to us forming that generalization may have been a bit skewed. It’s more likely that someone successful, on TV for example, would thank god for their accomplishments than specifically nobody at all.

And about the chicken and egg thing, it’s hard to tell whether those with a workable model prosper because of this model or if they are able to construct a workable model (in which they deeply believe) because they’ve achieved success during its construction.

Say 1% of the population becomes “prosperous” (whatever that means) through a combination of work, talent, and luck. Everyone will be constructing their model, but the majority will find theirs to fail pretty frequently and certainly won’t consider it “working”, whereas the prosperous portion will find support for the validity of their model in their continued prosperity. Do they have an objectively good model, or did their unique circumstances lead to their prosperity and as a result their belief in their model?

I’m with you, just playing cynic’s advocate.

It just means that the experiences that led to us forming that generalization may have been a bit skewed. It’s more likely that someone successful, on TV for example, would thank god for their accomplishments than specifically nobody at all.

Ah, okay. So, many attribute their success (and failures, but that’s a different facet) to concepts that are made available within the culture, and would be very unlikely to have constructed some kind of proprietary agent or generator of that success. I get it. This applies equally, as far as I can tell on quick calculation, to self-determination or free will or nature vs. nurture arguments, etc.

Do they have an objectively good model, or did their unique circumstances lead to their prosperity and as a result their belief in their model?

Excellent distinction: causation, or correlation? That goes equally well for the topic in the linked NPR piece; I’m not convinced that a person’s aptitude for self-deception is a contributing cause of success. It’s an interesting vector to entertain, though.

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